Want to focus on two of the biggest swing states for the 2020 Presidential election with this thread - Florida and Michigan. President Trump won both of these states in the 2016 election. Narrowly.
Trump won Florida by just 1.2% of the vote, or just 112,911 votes of the over 9 million cast. And he won Michigan - a traditionally blue leaning state - by a margin of just 0.23% of the vote, or just 10,704 votes out of over 4.5 million cast.
Now I won't even bother posting projections this early in the election process as to who would match up most favorably with Trump in either state for the general. But I will say that currently Joe Biden is polling with a double digit lead (or close to) for both the Michigan and Florida primaries, which will both be taking place in March of 2020.
If the trend holds true and the Democrats nominate the frontrunner Biden as their candidate, at least you know those states currently agree with that verdict, if you trust primary poling results. That said, do you think Biden or any of the other Democratic candidates can take back Michigan and/or Florida from Trump in 2020?
Seems the Presidential election will come down to these two states and perhaps Wisconsin and Pennsylvania as well. But I am focusing on Florida and Michigan as Florida is one of the largest electoral wins in a race (29) and Michigan says historically leaned blue, so seems reasonable for it to switch back.
I also find it interesting that Florida just passed a law allowing convicted felons the right to vote. Regardless of it you agree with this law or not, you have to know this WILL effect the election as suddenly over a million people are now eligible to vote that were not in 2016. And Trump only won by 10 times less than that margin in Florida. I wonder how that will sway things.