With the election finally here, voters and leaders must contemplate what the lasting effect of Donald Trump's movement will be if he falls short.
The polls have him down. The FBI cleared Hillary Clinton in her email scandal. And the early vote offers her promising signs.
After a long and exceptionally negative campaign, Americans by the millions voted on Tuesday for their next president as opinion polls showed Democrat Hillary Clinton with a narrow lead over Republican Donald Trump.
Americans are casting their verdicts on Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump on Election Day after an exhausting, acrimonious campaign that at times revolted the nation and tore at its fabric.
Throughout the election, our forecast models have consistently come to two conclusions. First, that Hillary Clinton was more likely than not to become the next president. And second, that the range of possible Electoral College outcomes — including the chance of a Donald Trump victory, but also a Clinton landslide that could see her winning states such as Arizona — was comparatively wide.
More than 46 million votes have been cast in advance of Election Day, breaking records in state after state and suggesting the prospect of a heightened Hispanic turnout that could upend politics in several battleground states.
The wildest presidential race in memory is showing signs of becoming a bit more traditional in the final week of the campaign. With just seven days to go until all ballots are counted, the RealClearPolitics polling average finds Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by just 2 percentage points nationally. While the Democratic nominee still holds an Electoral College advantage, some polls have narrowed in North Carolina, Florida, and other key battleground states.
Our tipping-point index identifies the states most likely to provide the decisive vote in the Electoral College. Here’s the deal: Our forecast models simulate the election thousands of times every day. In each simulation, we line up the states sequentially by the margin separating Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. Start adding up the winning candidate’s electoral votes beginning with the state they won most comfortably and working your way toward the more competitive states, and the tipping-point state is the one that provided the 270th electoral vote. The top tipping-point state — according to polls-only model run from Tuesday evening — was Florida.
The most unpredictable, dumbfounding and just plain nasty presidential campaign in modern times is heading into its final full week.
At least 21 million Americans have already cast their ballots for the 2016 election so far, with Democrats outperforming Republicans in most areas. This suggests that the so-called “October surprises” revolving around Hillary Clinton—specifically, the WikiLeaks releases from her campaign chairman’s hacked email account—are not having much of an impact in the battleground states. A spot of weakness for Clinton, though, was African-American voters in North Carolina, who have not quite voted at the same level as they did in the 2012 race. Still, Democrats had a wide lead in that state, with 43 percent to the GOP's 31 percent.
When it comes to higher education, which presidential candidate best addresses the many pitfalls of an overpriced college degree and its ensuing debts? While Donald Trump has many ideas on this subject, his “slash and burn” approach of eliminating the Department of Education (DE) isn’t a workable solution. Hillary Clinton’s ideas, though flawed, will help a greater number of families, in my analysis.
With 11 days to go before the U.S. presidential election, Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump by 15 percentage points among early voters surveyed in the past two weeks, according to the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project.
There are eight days left before Americans will choose whether Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump will be the 45th president of the United States. And, although October — and its surprises — have become cliche in politics at this point, it’s hard to remember a final month of a presidential campaign that has contained so many twists and turns.
The Republicans are under a consent decree! Texas officials tried to arrest international election observers! And other surprising facts.
With just over two weeks until Election Day, there are some surprising shifts occurring in the electoral map. Judy Woodruff speaks with correspondent Lisa Desjardins and Nathan Gonzales of The Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report about which voters are deserting Donald Trump, the latest poll numbers and the possibilities for down-ballot races changing the power balance in the House and Senate.
Donald Trump said Monday that he expects to decide on his vice presidential pick by the end of the week and that he is leaning toward a "political" pick rather than a "military" one.