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Texas is trending purple. Could become the ultimate swing state in some years. For now, I think it stays red. But I think there will come a time fairly soon, an election cycle or two away perhaps, where it flips. More and more Texans live in the major cities, and those counties (Dallas in Dallas County, San Antonio in Bexar County, Houston in Harris County and Austin in Travis County) all went blue in 2016.
Tarrant County did not, which has Arlington and Fort Worth. Neither did Collin County, which has Plano.
Odd to think that 4/5 biggest counties went blue, and 6 of the 8 most populated counties went blue, but the state as a whole still went red by some 800k votes. A vast majority of the rural counties voted in a sea of red:
If Dems want to flip Texas in 2020, they need to focus on maintaining the counties they won in 2016 first of all, which is no small feat. And then its really as simple as flipping a handful of other counties.. Denton would be huge. They have 859,939 residents as of 2018.
Go after then non-deep red counties like Denton, Brazos, Galveston and Montgomery and they have a shot. A realistic shot, especially since the population of Hispanics is ever growing in the state.