Senator Warren has been steadily rising in the polls and the 4th Democratic Debate will be the first time she'll meet all the other candidates on the same stage since pulling neck and neck with former Vice President Joe Biden in most national polls. What's interesting is that Biden hasn't necessarily dropped in the polls, but he has stayed stagnant while Warren has shot up into a virtual tie in the average of polls.
Both Warren and Biden have a lot to gain (and lose) in the 4th Democratic Debate at Otterbein University in Westerville, Ohio, but I think it can be a make or break debate for Senator Warren. For starters, I think Biden's base of support is capped at around 40 percent. He's the "safe" choice for a lot of people, but he isn't necessarily a lot of people's favorite candidate. If Warren can convince some of the "on the fence" supporters of Biden that she can beat Trump then you may start to see Biden drop by a few percentage points.
Secondly, I think that many Sanders supporters will shift over to Warren if she has a great debate performance. I think it's all but inevitable that Sanders will be bowing out sooner or later. His candidacy has been having a hard time gaining any momentum before his heart attack and I just can't help but feel that was the nail in his candidacy's coffin. If she has a strong performance, I think you'll see a number of Sanders-Warren movement in the polls.
We still have a long way to go to the 2020 Convention, but I think we're starting to see what the likely head-to-head match-up will be when the rubber starts hitting the road. I won't offer a guess as to who will eventually reign supreme and there's a million different things that can happen between now and the convention, but it's starting to look like a race between Biden and Warren. And that will surely be interesting.
Does seem like Sanders understands that unfortunately his campaign is nearing an end. This debate will be very telling. Sanders could surprise us all and come out swinging against everyone, even Warren. But it's more likely he doesn't.
Agree this is a big opportunity for Warren. She could be the clear frontrunner after this debate for sure if it plays out with Sanders on his way out and Biden doing nothing of note, or worse putting his foot in his mouth after whatever issue.
Warren should get most all of Sanders support.
J.K.Logic Wrote: Does seem like Sanders understands that unfortunately his campaign is nearing an end. This debate will be very telling. Sanders could surprise us all and come out swinging against everyone, even Warren. But it's more likely he doesn't.
Yea, it just seems like the writing is on the wall for 10 of the 12 "major" candidates.
I may be wrong, but I have a strong feeling it's going to be a two person race in the next 3-4 months. A number of candidates will inevitably stick around until the first few primaries are over, but fast forward five months from now and I think we're going to be watching Biden and Warren dueling it out.
However, I've been very (very) wrong before, so take my prediction with a big grain of salt.