Forum Thread

Why Does The 2020 Presidential Run Seem to Be Different For Bernie?

Reply to ThreadDisplaying 3 Posts
  • Are you sure you want to delete this post?
        

    He has universal name recognition, a die-hard loyal following, and widely popular policy proposals (at least within the Democratic Party), so why is Bernie continuously polling a distant third in every major national poll for the past number of months?

    I have a rather strong personal opinion about Bernie, but I'm going to try to lay that to rest for this thread and focus more on why I think the electorate has moved on from him even if they are favorable to many of his proposals. For starters - 2020 is the exact opposite of 2016. Where 2016 brought us one major candidate with no major rivals until Bernie stepped to the plate, 2020 is anything but. You can call the Democratic Primary many things this year, but lacking a variety of candidates isn't one of them. Not just that, but where 2016 was largely a race of one centrist versus one populist, 2020 is a race of multiple centrists (to varying degrees) versus multiple populists (to varying degrees). Voters now have more options than Hillary or Bernie and that doesn't bode well for him, especially due to the fact that Democratic delegates are awarded proportionally in each state.

    I've never been a betting man, but I have a strong feeling that Bernie's time has passed and that we will eventually see a two person race between Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren. In many ways it will be similar to 2016 with a centrist and progressive going toe-to-toe, but in others it will be quite different. Either way, I have a strong feeling that Bernie's ship has sailed.

    What do you think? Am I woefully underestimating the level of support Bernie has in this country or do you agree that Bernie's time has come and gone?

  • Are you sure you want to delete this post?
        

    I think you're right. It does feel like Bernie has maxed out his supporter base to this point. I don't think he will have any problem getting his die hard supporters to turn out in the primary elections. But he has already lost a good chunk of supporters that were 50/50 on him to Warren. And I don't see an avenue for him to suddenly gain them back.

    For whatever reason, the campaign of Bernie Sanders seems to cap out at roughly 20-25% of the polling. If Elizabeth Warren wasn't running, Sanders would be in way better shape. He would actually most likely be the far and away frontrunner. But since they are so similar in message and she is doing a better good than him this election cycle of ramping up momentum, I don't see a path for him to win.

    Warren or Sanders would be better served if one of them dropped out and joined the other campaign as the VP ticket.

  • Are you sure you want to delete this post?
        
    bryce28 Wrote:

    Warren or Sanders would be better served if one of them dropped out and joined the other campaign as the VP ticket.

    I agree completely. They do make a good team. The first time I thought this was seeing them team up against the younger candidates in the debates.