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Only ten of the nearly twenty candidates still running for the Democratic Presidential nomination in 2020 have qualified for the third Presidential Debate, delivering a likely fatal blow to nearly half the field with one fell swoop. ABC announced the candidates who met their requirements to make the debate stage and also announced that the debate will only be held on one night since only ten candidates will be participating.
The ten candidates that made the debate stage are:
- Joe Biden
- Cory Booker
- Pete Buttigieg
- Julián Castro
- Kamala Harris
- Amy Klobuchar
- Beto O'Rourke
- Bernie Sanders
- Elizabeth Warren
- Andrew Yang
Notable candidates who didn't qualify are Bill de Blasio, Michael Bennet, Tom Steyer, and Tulsi Gabbard.
I predict that the candidates who didn't qualify, with maybe the exception of Steyer (who has unlimited money to throw into the race), will drop out of the race in the next one to two months.
I think Yang, Castro, O'Rourke, Klobuchar, Booker, and maybe Buttigieg will follow, leaving a field of Biden, Harris, Sanders, and Warren to really duke it out for the nomination.
2016 showed me that literally anything can happen when it comes to politics, but if I were a betting man, I'd bet that those four will be going deep into the primary season and any one of them could realistically win the Democratic nomination in 2020.
Does anyone else agree or do you think I'm too quickly and easily pushing aside candidates like O'Rourke and Buttigieg?