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Update on this. So the debate rules to qualify are as follows via CNN:
In announcing the new debate rules, the DNC set two potential qualification requirements for the field:
- Achieve at least 1% support in three polls from an approved list of pollsters
- Receive campaign contributions from 65,000 unique donors, including 200 donors each from 20 different states
That said, here are the candidates who have qualified under both criteria:
Bernie Sanders, Pete Buttigieg, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Beto O'Rourke, Andrew Yang, Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Julian Castro, Tulsi Gabbard, Jay Inslee, Amy Klobuchar and Marianne Williamson.
That's 13 candidates that for sure will be on one of the two debate stages in June and July.
And since it seems you only need to qualify for one of these criteria, right now you will also see:
Bill de Blasio, John Delaney, Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper, Tim Ryan and Eric Swalwell.
That makes for a total of 19. And the DNC cut off is a max of 20 candidates for these debates. So that means very very likely Steve Bullock, Michael Bennet, Wayne Messam and Seth Moulton are out of the mix.
I expect that the 6 candidates with only 1 criteria (all those got 1% of the polling but not 65k+ unique donors) will either see a massive late push for donors or they will drop out very soon. Im gussing Blasio and Gillibrand could easily get those donors and as of this moment they are just testing the polling waters. If I had to guess, all 6 will drop out soon.