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GOP Establishment Candidates Are in a Prisoner's Dilemma

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    The Republican Party has a "prisoner's dilemma" problem. For those who are unaware of what a prisoner's dilemma is, it's when two (or more) rational individuals might not cooperate, even if it appears that it is in their best interests to do so. The "prisoners" in this example are the four establishment candidates that are in the crowded Republican field.

    Senator Marco Rubio, Governors Chris Christie and John Kasich, and former Governor Jeb Bush are all establishment Republicans with varied experience and appeal. The only problem with this is that all four of them are splitting the establishment wing of the party and giving an opening for people like Donald Trump and Ted Cruz to capitalize on that wing of the party who aren't rallying behind one candidate.

    So is the dilemma the Republican Party now finds itself in. If they don't rally behind one of these four candidates then there is the real possibility that a "fringe" candidate like Trump or Cruz will win the GOP nomination. Those two may appeal to a small wing of the Republican Party, but I highly doubt they would be able to convince enough moderate voters that they would be a good choice for President.

    My question is which one of the four establishment candidates actually has the best shot. I think that Senator Rubio is the person that scares the Democrats the most, but Governor Kasich is a moderate governor from the perennial swing state of Ohio.

    What do you think? Is Rubio the best choice or am I over looking something?

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    Those are some interesting points. The longer those four stay in the race the more likely it is that none of them will win the nomination. The problem is that all four of them think that everyone else should drop out and they should stay in. It'll be interesting to see who blinks first.
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    JaredS Wrote: What do you think? Is Rubio the best choice or am I over looking something?

    I agree that Rubio is the person the Democrats are more afraid of, but I have a feeling he is in over his head. He didn't seem to get any "bump" after Iowa and he shot himself in the foot with repeating the same line a handful of times in the most recent debate.

    Your points about Governor Kasich were interesting and I share many of them. I'm really surprised he hasn't been able to break away from the pack considering his obvious appeal. The Presidency is almost always won in Ohio. He's the sitting governor of Ohio. He's popular in his state. I am shocked that Republicans aren't lining up behind him.

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    Governor Christie is the first one to take the bait. After a dismal showing in New Hampshire, the governor announced that he is exiting the race.

    I wonder who will go next. Marco Rubio also had a very poor showing last night and many commentators are saying he may be toast. I'm not willing to go that far, but he definitely needs a strong showing in South Carolina and Nevada if he wants to stay in the race.

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    It really looks like it's going to be a fight between Governor Bush and his protege. That very likely makes both of their donors uncomfortable because they like both of the candidates. I wouldn't be surprised if they both refuse to give up and wind up splitting the ticket. That will only help Trump or Cruz in the long run.