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The Republican Party has a "prisoner's dilemma" problem. For those who are unaware of what a prisoner's dilemma is, it's when two (or more) rational individuals might not cooperate, even if it appears that it is in their best interests to do so. The "prisoners" in this example are the four establishment candidates that are in the crowded Republican field.
Senator Marco Rubio, Governors Chris Christie and John Kasich, and former Governor Jeb Bush are all establishment Republicans with varied experience and appeal. The only problem with this is that all four of them are splitting the establishment wing of the party and giving an opening for people like Donald Trump and Ted Cruz to capitalize on that wing of the party who aren't rallying behind one candidate.
So is the dilemma the Republican Party now finds itself in. If they don't rally behind one of these four candidates then there is the real possibility that a "fringe" candidate like Trump or Cruz will win the GOP nomination. Those two may appeal to a small wing of the Republican Party, but I highly doubt they would be able to convince enough moderate voters that they would be a good choice for President.
My question is which one of the four establishment candidates actually has the best shot. I think that Senator Rubio is the person that scares the Democrats the most, but Governor Kasich is a moderate governor from the perennial swing state of Ohio.
What do you think? Is Rubio the best choice or am I over looking something?